German aims are more ambitious than those of the European Union as a whole. However, in many nations, politics and the economic crisis have driven the climate catastrophe to the bottom of the priority list.
The largest economy in Europe, Germany, plans to reduce its carbon dioxide emissions by 65% from 1990 levels by 2030. Although its CO2 levels were 40% lower than they were in 1990 last year, according to the new reports, that was insufficient.
"The expected overall reduction is probably overestimated," said Hans-Martin Henning, the head of a group of climate specialists who advise the government, in a statement on Tuesday.
130 measures in several areas have been ordered by the German government. According to a report by the council of government climate advisers, they are not being implemented, particularly in the building and transportation sectors.
By 2030, the buildings sector is anticipated to fall 35 million tonnes shy of the government's objective, while the transportation sector is anticipated to have surplus emissions of between 117 and 191 million tonnes.
The UBA assessment that indicated Germany could not achieve carbon neutrality by 2045 on the basis of current and planned government climate policy was released on the same day as the report from the consultants.
It created two scenarios, one based on planned policy and the other based on current policy, and determined that just 82% and 86% of the desired reductions in emissions relative to 1990 would be realized.
According to the existing situation, Germany would continue to generate 229 million tonnes of greenhouse gases that harm the climate in 2045, according to the UBA analysis.
GOVT. COMMITMENTS
The economy ministry claimed that measures it has put in place since the current administration took office in late 2021 would reduce almost 80% of the excess CO2 emissions it claimed were a result of prior administration actions. Additionally, it stated that the coalition government would review the council's recommendations in an effort to put the nation on track.
A law to phase out oil and gas heating systems starting in 2024 was watered down by the government coalition in June as a result of lobbying from the pro-business FDP party. The analysis concluded that the adjustments will result in the building sector missing its goals.
In order to reduce the emissions gap, building minister Klara Geywitz said the industry is making strides but needs to improve in some areas. She also added that in order to prevent overtaxing the populace, climate protection measures should be feasible and attainable.
Geywitz stated in an email that "we will discuss the recommendations and information from the reports, evaluate the planned measures, and continuously adapt them."
According to the UBA analysis, two-thirds of the emissions that still need to be reduced come from the transportation sector.
The council criticized the transport ministry for making too optimistic assumptions about the success of the planned and already-enacted initiatives, including a reduced national rail fare, a CO2 levy on truck tolls, and increasing working from home.
"In a sense, private car individual travel is not addressed. And that is ultimately a weakness in the transportation program," Brigitte Knopf, the council's vice chairperson, said at a news conference on Tuesday where she presented the report's conclusions.
The transport ministry claimed that while significant emission-reduction measures had already been put in place, achieving climate neutrality would take time and would depend on social fairness and economic considerations.
According to a ministry official, "creating cost-effective, environmentally friendly solutions that address the mobility needs of individuals and businesses is an ongoing task."
In reaction to the reports, the nonprofit organization Deutsche Umwelthilfe (DUH) stated that an urgent climate program was required, particularly for the transportation industry.
It declared that it would pursue legal action to try to impose a speed limit on German motorways, where there are now no restrictions on how quickly drivers may travel, as well as to cut back on government subsidies that have a negative impact on the environment, such tax breaks for company cars.